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October 8, 2013
Ministry of Finance
Bank of Japan
The Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Japan will implement a major revision of balance of payments related statistics, mainly with the aim of achieving conformity with the sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual published by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The revision will take effect for data from January 2014 onward. The following provides an overview of the various aspects covered by the revision, including the rearrangement of accounts, changes in presentation, more detailed breakdowns of items, changes in compilation methods, and the introduction of an annual revision system.
The first scheduled release dates of major statistics after the revision are as follows:
The following is an overview of the revision.
In the BOP, the current "financial account" and "changes in reserve assets" will be combined into the new "financial account." The "capital account" will be treated as a main account comparable to the "current account" and "financial account." The current "capital and financial account" will be abolished as an account.
The current "financial account" in the BOP focuses on financial inflows/outflows and shows inflows with a plus sign and outflows with a minus sign. The new "financial account" will focus on changes in assets and liabilities and will show increases in assets and liabilities with a plus sign and decreases with a minus sign. As a result, the signs for figures on the asset side (outward investment) will be reversed, while those on the liability side (inward investment) will remain unchanged.
As a result of the above changes, the identity showing the relationship between the accounts in the BOP will change as follows.
Current identity: Current account balance + capital and financial account balance + changes in reserve assets + errors and omissions = 0.
New identity: Current account balance + capital account balance - financial account balance + net errors and omissions = 0.
Further, regarding net transactions in foreign securities by residents, the current International Transactions in Securities show net sales with a plus sign and net purchases with a minus sign. This convention will be reversed for transactions from January 2014 onward, where net purchases will be shown with a plus sign, while net sales will be shown with a minus sign.
The components currently labeled "income" and "current transfers" in the BOP will be renamed "primary income" and "secondary income," respectively.
In the BOP and IIP, "portfolio investment," "financial derivatives," and "other investment" are currently broken down into three sectors (public sector, banks, and other sectors). In the future, they will be broken down into five sectors (central bank; general government; deposit-taking corporations, except the central bank; other financial corporations; as well as nonfinancial corporations, households, and nonprofit institutions serving households).
In the IIP, portfolio investment asset positions are currently disseminated by currency and type of securities. From data for year-end 2014 onward, a detailed breakdown for both assets and liabilities not only of securities under portfolio investment but also of other debt instruments will be provided, distinguishing by currency, sector, and maturity.
Further, in the BOP "investment income attributable to investment fund shareholders" will be introduced as a new item under "investment income," and in the BOP and IIP "investment fund shares" will be introduced as a new item under "portfolio investment." Transactions related to investment funds will be recorded under these new items.
"Goods for processing" and "repairs on goods," which are currently classified under "goods," will be relabeled "manufacturing services on physical inputs owned by others" and "maintenance and repair services n.i.e.," respectively, and reclassified under "services," while merchanting, which is currently recorded under "services," will be reclassified under "goods."
"Financial intermediation services indirectly measured (FISIM)," which are included in the margins in interest rates on loans and deposits, will be estimated, excluded from "primary income," and recorded under "financial services."
Transaction fees implicitly charged as part of the transaction prices for financial instruments will be excluded from the "financial account" and instead be recorded under "financial services."
Patents and copyrights will be treated as produced assets rather than as nonproduced assets. Their sale will be included in the corresponding items under "other services."
Securities lending transactions, which are currently recorded under "portfolio investment," will no longer be recorded, since securities lending will no longer be regarded as the buying/selling of securities.
In the current BOP, final (revised) figures are not subject to further periodical revision, although they have occasionally been revised as needed. From figures for January 2014 onward, however, an annual revision system will be introduced for the BOP and IIP in order to retroactively incorporate subsequent events, such as corrections reported after the figures are finalized, into the statistics. Revisions will go back up to around two years. It is expected that with the introduction of this system the current final (revised) figures will be referred to as the second preliminary figures instead and the retroactively revised figures will be referred to as the annually revised figures.
The switch-over to the new statistics will lead to a break in the data between December 2013 and January 2014. Considering the user needs for time series data, we are going to provide historical time series data consistent with the new statistics. Specifically, the data for the monthly BOP and the year-end IIP from 1996 will be rearranged based on the standards of the new statistics and will be disseminated in March 2014 or later.
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